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PostPosted: Tue May 27, 2014 5:42 am 
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Pro Football Focus wrote:
2013 was a different year for Matthews. Gibson, brought in to garner significant playing time, suffered a mid-season knee injury that saw Matthews take over the No. 3 receiver role behind Mike Wallace and Brian Hartline. Playing over half of the team’s snaps in every game since Week 9, Matthews tallied 331 receiving yards over the last half of the season, earning a +5.2 grade on the year.

Matthews flashed serious potential in a breakout game against Tampa Bay, though few would notice with the Martin/ Incognito scandal in full swing. While the Dolphins would go on to hand the Buccaneers their first win of the season, it wasn’t for a lack of effort on Matthews’ part. He quietly went on to record his first career 100 yard game, catching 11 of the 14 balls thrown his way. Aside from raw yardage totals, Matthews picked up two touchdowns and seven additional first downs in the process as the Bucs’ secondary looked helpless to stop him.

The rest of the season would be less spectacular for Matthews, but a look into our Signature Stats shows some bright spots. A lone drop on a crossing pattern in Week 17 would blemish Matthews’ otherwise perfect season catching the ball as he earned the fourth-best Drop Percentage among wideouts who saw at least 44 targets on the year. His 37 receptions from the slot were 15th-most, and while that’s not spectacular, it’s impressive when you consider 44 receivers spent more time in the slot than Matthews.

What Happens From Here?

So where does this leave Matthews’ role with the team? Incidentally, he might actually be lower on the depth chart this coming season after the Dolphins spent a late second round pick on Jarvis Landry, a wide receiver from LSU. Gibson’s injury may result in him being cut from the team, but even then that would leave Matthews to compete with Landry for the third receiver position. The team seems committed to having Matthews play inside, as 87% of his snaps last season were in the slot. At a career average of 11.5 yards per catch and a career long catch of 30 yards, Matthews would appear to be a nice complement to the field-stretching speed that Wallace brings to the offense.

At just under $600k per year, Matthews’ salary is very team-friendly. Should the Dolphins retain Gibson, Wallace, and Hartline, Matthews should still have a place cemented on the roster thanks to his production and the low cost of keeping him. Even if he’s forced into a diminished role on the offense, he made a positive contribution to the team, something most seventh-round picks can’t claim. Snaps may be very hard to come by, so it will be up to Matthews to seize every opportunity if he’s to hope for more playing time.

Whether or not Matthews is in the Dolphins’ long-term plans may not be up to him. They currently have three receivers on the roster signed through 2017 and that’s not counting the deal Landry will sign in the upcoming months. With so much money committed to the position, it’s hard to envision Miami looking to shell over more to Matthews when he becomes an unrestricted free agent in 2016 without first releasing some of the high-priced wideouts ahead of him on the depth chart. It will be interesting to see whether Matthews can take that next step and break into the starting role, but he certainly has his work cut out for him.


https://www.profootballfocus.com/blog/2 ... -dolphins/

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PostPosted: Tue May 27, 2014 10:04 am 
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Quote:
Brandon Gibson (knee) is on the field and participating in Tuesday's OTAs.
Gibson tore his patellar tendon in October, so he's made great strides and appears to be well ahead of schedule in his recovery. It's an important summer for Gibson after the team drafted Jarvis Landry, who projects as an immediate slot receiver. 26-year-old Gibson has a real shot at being 100 percent for camp.
Source: Adam Beasley on Twitter


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PostPosted: Tue May 27, 2014 3:12 pm 
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Matthews will beat out gibson


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PostPosted: Tue May 27, 2014 4:50 pm 
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even if Matthews beats out Gibson...

What's it cost to cut Gibson if necessary?

From what I recall, Hartline, Wallace, and Gibson were all locked up through 2014, and could be jettisoned in 2015 if the option presented itself.....or am i wrong?

I can see a lineup that features Wallace, Hartline, Landry, Gibson, Matthews, and Binns..... maybe even a 7th WR. This offense is all about tempo!

If Miami choses not to employ a FB, which seems to be the option ran last year, that 7th roster spot is right there..... especially if Clay is going to continue as an H-back.

This is not going to be a fantasy WR happy team, but who cares. I can see the following stats happening.

Wallace: 900-1100 yds, 7 TDs
Hartline: 850-950 yrds, 3 TDs
Landry: 600-700 yds, 5 TDs
Matthews: 400-700 yds, 4 TDs
Gibson: 400-600 yds, 5 TDs
Clay: 600-600 yds, 5 TDs
Binns: 300-400 yds, 0 TDs

5050 yards on the high side of the range.. (not going to happen) 4050 on the low side of the spectrum which very realistic.


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PostPosted: Tue May 27, 2014 9:30 pm 
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SkyHigh314 wrote:
Clay: 600-600 yds, 5 TDs


Giving a lot of room for variables there, aren't you?
Seriously, I appreciate your projections and they don't seem unrealistic. However, the reality could be drastically different because of injuries, of course. Also, we haven't yet seen what Lazor's plan is for rotating bodies.


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