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PostPosted: Mon Sep 24, 2018 12:49 pm 
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The early line has the Dolphins a 7.5 pt underdog going into NE. Based on the how the season is going, this seems a bit high, and I am a bit surprised that Vegas has NE as a 7.5 pt favorite. NE has looked old and slow so far, but this game is at home for them, and they have owned Miami at home. I pulled the results from the last 8 season, and NE has for the most part beat the Dolphins by double digits. For what the teams have showed this far, I think Miami has more talent than NE. While Miami has not beaten NE on the road since 2008, this season feels a bit different, and I am cautiously optimistic.

Season Date Result Pt delta Winner Site
2010 1/2/11 38–7 29 Patriots Gilette Stadium
2011 12/24/11 27–24 3 Patriots Gilette Stadium
2012 12/30/12 28–0 28 Patriots Gilette Stadium
2013 10/27/13 27–17 10 Patriots Gilette Stadium
2014 12/14/14 41–13 28 Patriots Gilette Stadium
2015 10/29/15 36–7 29 Patriots Gilette Stadium
2016 9/18/16 31–24 7 Patriots Gilette Stadium
2017 11/26/17 35–17 18 Patriots Gilette Stadium

Bold and fearless prediction: I think Miami edges NE in a close game 21-17.


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PostPosted: Mon Sep 24, 2018 12:52 pm 
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The Fish Baron wrote:
The early line has the Dolphins a 7.5 pt underdog going into NE. Based on the how the season is going, this seems a bit high, and I am a bit surprised that Vegas has NE as a 7.5 pt favorite. NE has looked old and slow so far, but this game is at home for them, and they have owned Miami at home.


Good, maybe they'll make this the prime time game next weekend and we'll see our Fins at least on the East Coast for a change. I don't get any in NC.

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PostPosted: Mon Sep 24, 2018 1:05 pm 
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Dave - I agree with you. I think this is one of the more interesting match ups this weekend. If NE wins, I am sure that the talking heads will say that NE is turning the ship around, Bill is a genius, and the Dolphins are over rated.

But.....if the Dolphins win, then they are in a great position to make a play off run with 3 games up in the division, and I would say that NE is in a really bad spot.


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PostPosted: Mon Sep 24, 2018 1:14 pm 
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I was so sick of hearing those two bozos last night talking about "ohhhh september is kind of a trial month for the patriots, they try things and then come october they are amazing." blah blah blah. Eff off, with that. Brady is getting old, you can't stop time and its effects on people, even if Tom has an amazing work out and conditioning routine. His deep passes, garbage (and have been for a while now) he is a short pass throwing carve you up qb. Sadly, Chris 7-11 hogan is their number 1 receiver right now, they have minimal running game threat, and their defense is left over manure piles from other teams. Vegas, media, etc doesn't want to admit that NE is on borrowed time and that it's slowly starting to be over for them.

Dolphins go in and punch NE in the mouth Sunday, then its going to be glaringly obvious that NE is done.

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PostPosted: Mon Sep 24, 2018 3:19 pm 
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I don’t think they are being harsh on that line. I’d take Miami at 7.5...after all that being said, still not a game I would put money on though.

Ninja, Collinsworth has always been a cringey, obnoxious Patriots nut hugger.

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That caption kills me.

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PostPosted: Mon Sep 24, 2018 3:34 pm 
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Saw Brady get a grounding penalty on a ball he threw 60yds last night. Not sure he's done quite yet.


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PostPosted: Mon Sep 24, 2018 3:46 pm 
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NFLJunkie wrote:
Saw Brady get a grounding penalty on a ball he threw 60yds last night. Not sure he's done quite yet.


just because he can throw it physically doesn't mean he can do the other stuff as amazing as he was in his 20's and early 30s

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PostPosted: Mon Sep 24, 2018 3:47 pm 
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NFLJunkie wrote:
Saw Brady get a grounding penalty on a ball he threw 60yds last night. Not sure he's done quite yet.


Any QB in the league can throw a football 60 yards into an unmarked patch of grass.

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PostPosted: Mon Sep 24, 2018 4:03 pm 
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Perhaps the refs have found a new favorite and Tommy Boy is on the outs?


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PostPosted: Tue Sep 25, 2018 7:33 pm 
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Ski_Money wrote:
Perhaps the refs have found a new favorite and Tommy Boy is on the outs?

:haha


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 26, 2018 9:18 am 
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One sports book has dropped it to -6.5 for the Pats.


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 26, 2018 9:41 am 
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The line is definitely dropping, which means money is starting to shift.

I understand why the Pats would be favored, but 7+ points seems really high given the Pats performance over the last 3 games. A line of 3-4 points seems more in line considering just this season. The Pats are still getting credit for past wins.


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 26, 2018 2:45 pm 
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The Fish Baron wrote:
The Pats are still getting credit for past wins.


As they should. They have had the single most successful and dominant program, regime and personnel over the last almost 2 decades than any other team or franchise in NFL history. Shadiness or not.

The 6.5-7 pt line is right on the money.

I give Miami around a 40% chance to win and I’ll take it. If it was in Miami, it would be the 3 point line that you prefer.

Let me follow up that dose of truth with this...

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