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2015 Dolphins Draft Picks
I barely have the stomach to do this. Between the loss to Cincinnati and the fallout conversation I've entered a state of Dolphin depression that hasn't existed since probably 2011. But the show must go on and Miami still has 11 games to come out of this season with a respectable record.
Chicago comes to Miami this Sunday fully healthy and off of a bye week. Miami is currently a 3.5 point under dog with a 42 O/U.
Chicago's defense ranks top 5 in just about all categories and they now have one of the best pass rushers in Khalil Mack. Like Cameron Wake he lines up against the right side of the offensive line so at least Ryan Tannehill will see him coming. The only team to score over 20 points against the Bears defense was Green Bay via an Aaron Rodgers comeback. The worst part is Chicago is the best defense in the NFL against the run which makes Miami rely on their passing game.
Chicago's offense is their weak spot. Yes, they put a beating on the Tampa Bay Bucs two weeks ago but plenty of people could have seen that a mile away. Tampa's secondary was decimated by injury and they came in sluggish after a MNF shootout with Pittsburgh. Game film showed second year QB Mitch Trubisky throwing to wide open targets like he would have seen back at UNC. If Miami can contain Chicago's ground game they'll have plenty of chances to force Trubisky into errant throws and interceptions. This will be Miami's only hope of winning the game because...
Did I mention Chicago has the league's best run defense? They are going to take away Miami's ground game and force Tannehill to beat them. Tannehill plays much better in Miami than on the road so hopefully his performance is closer to the Oakland game than either of the past two games. He should have Devante Parker back to combat the press coverage teams are using to eliminate smaller targets. The OL is a hot mess and if Laremy Tunsil can't suit up it is going to be miserable. After throwing one of the most bizarre interceptions ever and getting strip sacked my guess is Tannehill will just take the hits rather than throw it away. I could see Chicago sacking him 4 or 5 times.
You have two QBs who can't carry their teams and two offenses that rank 24th and 28th in yards produced. Again, if not for pummeling a bad Tampa defense Chicago would be near the bottom of points per game. Put it this way, their offense couldn't beat the Packers without Aaron Rodgers for much of the game and almost couldn't put away two of the worst teams in the NFL (Seattle and Arizona). So Miami has a chance if they can pull off a couple of big plays.
Miami's defense should be good enough to limit the Bears to between 10 and 14 points. Conversely, their offense has scored a total of 17 points the last two weeks. You can't keep counting on punt return TDs and a hopeful pick six to win games.
For me to have any faith in Miami, Gase and Tannehill they will have to come out like they did against Pittsburgh in 2016. Miami ran the ball successfully, Tannehill was throwing darts all over the field and Gase showed a change in philosophy that changed their season.
A few things make me feel better about Miami's chances: 1. Gase is definitely angry this week and you can see it in his press conferences 2. Tannehill is no doubt reading/hearing from the press and fans that his career in Miami is over 3. Laremy Tunsil is practicing. The first two things make me believe both guys will come out full guns a blazin' to silence the critics. It won't change long term opinions but both guys have responded positively in previous "angry" games (Pittsburgh and Arizona in 2016 being the most recent). Tunsil playing means one side of the line won't be entirely comprised of backups and they'll be able to at least try running on that side.
I'm going with Miami (I know surprise surprise) because I think they come out angry (redundant description) and play some good complimentary ball. The defense did a heck of a job against Andy Dalton and I think they'll get Mitch (refuse to call him Mitchell) to turn the ball over. The offense just needs to play complimentary ball. I see something very similar to the Jets game, except Trubisky isn't mounting any potential comebacks like the superior Sam Darnold.
Cross your fingers and hope I am correct.
For the second week in a row the Dolphins lost a game in jaw dropping fashion. With five minutes remaining in the third quarter it seemed Miami was on the door step of a statement game. Their defense was nearly pitching a shutout versus the red hot Bengals offense. Miami's offense, lackluster again, was at least avoiding major mistakes. Then the wheels came off.
Miami's defense was missing Cameron Wake, Andre Branch, Bobby McCain and the recently released Jordan Phillips and they still held a Cincinnati offense averaging nearly 30 PPG to only 13 points on the day. Kiko Alonso intercepted a pass tipped by Reshad Jones and it set the tone for the defense making big plays all day. Rookie LB Jerome Baker recorded his first two career sacks. DT Vincent Taylor block yet another field goal. If not for an insanely luck touchdown catch by Joe Mixon on an Andy Dalton prayer the defense may have held the Benglas to a day of field goals. This unit is showing something and is growing from question mark into a team strength.
Frank Gore and Kenyan Drake provided a nice 1-2 punch out of the backfield. Gore continues to be a hammer on first down by consitently chugging out four to five yards per carry. He had 12 carries for 63 yards on the day. Drake ripped off a 25 yard run and caught a very nice 22 yard touchdown pass from Ryan Tannehill. When Miami runs the ball the offense, and Drake as a receiver, seem to click on a much higher level.
Jakeem Grant. This guy seems to have a big scoring play in him every week. He put Miami ahead 14-0 heading into half time with a 71 yard punt return touchdown. He needs the ball in his hands more often because defenders struggle to tackle him.
Ryan Tannehill is officially on notice. The loss is not squarely on him, but a bizarre pick six and strip sack fumble for a touchdown ultimately killed any chance Miami had of winning this game. Even prior to the turnovers (three by the end of the day) his offense engineered two scoring drives for a total of 10 points. He proved for the second week in a row that he was not up to the task of lifting an offense that has scheme and injury issues. He seems to throw aggressively at unnecessary times and not take chances in more opportune times. The worst was a 3rd and 1 play with only three minutes remaining in the third quarter. He underthrew Kenny Stills on a deep pass rather than run for the first down to keep the clock going. Cincinnati used the next drive to score their lone offensive touchdown. It was the turning point of the game.
The offensive line depth is bad, really bad. Cincinnati DT Geno Atkins was in Tannehill's face all game and almost single handidly disrupted Miami's pass attack. Travis Swanson and Ted Larsen are not adequate answers as starters for the remainder of the season. They are going to get Tannehill, his backups or any other QB Miami brings in hurt as time goes. When Laremy Tunsil left the game with a possible concussion it was Sam Young who replaced him, and boy did he look lost. Even Bengals coach Marvin Lewis commented after the game that Cincy smelled blood in the water on the left side of the line. Which leads to...
Adam Gase. His decisions have been problematic the last two weeks. Lewis expanded on his comments about Young saying he was shocked Miami left Young alone on an island. Where was the TE help? After the drubbing by the Patriots Gase said he didn't see that type of game coming. After yesterday's loss he said Tunsil's injury shook the team. What? You lost a left tackle, not a stud QB or game changing skill player. Where are the adjustments or the contingency plans? Your QB is getting pressure in his face on the majority of his drop backs and you're dialing up deep shots and complicated routes. You're leaving a severely inadequate backup tackle without a safety net. Maybe he is seeing something the rest of us are not but it was not a good day for him.
The fallout from yesterday's loss is about as bad I've seen for Miami since Joe Philbin got the dreaded vote of confidence before the 2015 London game. Reporters are already asking if Tannehill is the starter going forward and rumblings on social media are that owner Stephen Ross is very unhappy. If you lose games like the last two weeks and make head shaking comments after the losses one wonders if the locker room will hold up much longer. We were told the culture would change and wins would follow. Miami is still 3-2 and has consecutive home games to hopefully stop the bleeding. Gase and Tannehill need the offense to have a good showing against a tough Bears defense next week or both could be facing lame duck status before Halloween.