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2015 Dolphins Draft Picks
The 3-4 Miami Dolphins, coming off a sound thrasing in Foxboro against New England 36-7, are back on the road again to take on the 3-4 Buffalo Bills, coming off a bye. The game is a 1:00 kickoff on CBS.
This is a big game for both teams as they try to keep playoff hopes alive. For Miami, this is an even bigger game, as they lost every game within the division the 1st time around. The acumulations of losses in the AFC hurts in regards to a wildcard spot as well.
Let's take a look at how these teams matchup.
Offensively, the Dolphins are generating 352.3 yards per game, ranking 15th in the NFL. Miami is producing 249.4 yards per game via the pass, 102.9 yards per game rushing. This ranks 15th and 17th in the league respectively, and the Dolphins are scoring 22.0 points a game, which comes in at 18th. They face a Buffalo defense that is giving up 347.3 yards per game, which comes in at 13th. The Bills are giving up 255.4 yards a game via the pass, 91.9 yards per game via the pass. This ranks 22nd and 6th respectively in the NFL. The Bills are giving up 24.7 points per game, which ranks 20th.
Miami had looked very good offensively in games against the Titans and Texans, but crashed back to earth in the Thursday Night embrassment against the Patriots. RB Lamar Miller, coming off of back to back 100 yard plus games was held well below that number, and OC Bill Lazor once again went pass happy and gave up on the run. To compound matters, QB Ryan Tannehill struggled in this game as well. This is something that has to change in regards to Tannehill and his up and down play. It was reported that Tannehill has REALLY struggled on the road in games against division opponents. That has got to change this weeked against a Bills defense that has not been nearly as dominant as they were in 2014. The formula for success in Dan Campbell's 1st 2 games was BALANCE. OC Bill Lazor must get back to that formula. Stay with the run game, as attempts are just as key as the yardage. Tannehill does a great job of spreading the ball around in the passing game, and he will need to continue to do this. I would not mind seeing him use his legs more also. Don't be scared to make a play if the pocket is collapsing.
Defensively, the Dolphins are giving up 379.4 yards per game, which comes in at 24th. Miami is giving up 255.0 yards passing, 124.4 yards per game rushing. That comes in at 21st and 25th respectively. The Dolphins are giving up 24.7 points a game, which ranks 19th in the NFL. The Dolphins face a Bills offense that is generating 340.6 yards per game, which ranks 23rd. Buffalo is generating 216.7 yards per game passing, while they are producing 123.9 yards per game rushing. This comes in at 25th and 11th respectively in the NFL. The Bills are scoring 25.1 points per game, which ranks 9th.
The Dolphins are coming off one of their better performances, even if they don't have a lot to show for it. After the Patriots scored on their first possession of the game, the Dolphins really contained the Patriots and got good pressure on Tom Brady. They finally wore down late 3rd quarter and the remainder of the game as the offense did nothing the help the defense. Miami must have a repeat performance in regards to getting pressure on Tyrod Taylor, back after missing a couple of games due to injury. That task was just made harder with the loss of DE Cameron Wake to a torn achellis tendon in the Patriots game. One Ndamankong Suh along with the rest of the defensive front will have to step up their play. The one thing that does need to improve is coverage on Tight Ends. Buffalo crossed Miami up in the 1st game and came out throwing the ball, especially to TE and former Dolphin Charles Clay. The Bills will not have WR Percy Harvin, but they do get WR Sammy Watkins back. I would expect the Bills to try to establish the run game a little earlier than they did last time. Miami has to be ready for that.
This is the 1st time this team has faced adversity under Dan Campbell. Can the Dolphins bounce back and get a key win on the road against a division rival and a team that has given them fits, especially in Buffalo? The answer to that needs to be YES if the Dolphins want to have legitimate playoffs hopes.
Who’s got next!
Over the last 17 years I’ve had one season where I sat back and enjoyed the ride. That was 2008. There was something special about Pennington and I had this nagging gut feeling that he was going to lead Miami to the playoffs. I’m having that feeling again but this time it isn’t about a QB. Dan Campbell has the type of fire in his veins that has been lacking for a long time. Yes it is a little premature to hype it too much. But just like 2008 I saw something special in that team. I kept nervously expecting it to end. It never did. They won the division title that year and despite an ugly end in the playoffs, it will remain a loan bright spot in a decade of futility. Campbell’s Team has that same spark. They’re playing with renewed passion. It doesn’t mean they’re going to win every week but it means they’re going to be tough to beat. NE better bring their game tonight because if they don’t, this Dolphins Team will beat them in their own back yard. What a special night that would be. There’s a funny thread going on in our forums. It is Dan Campbell as Chuck Norris.
When NE has the ball, there’s no question its Brady and a trio of very good players. Edelmen, Amendola and Gronk are all dangerous. Brady will feed the hot hand the ball and keep going there. The Jets did a beautiful job of shutting it down with press coverage in the first 3 quarters but inexplicably went to a zone- blitz scheme in the 2nd half with the DBs playing off. I watched Coyle fail at this approach to games the very same way. Brady flourished with this approach. They blitzed, he took a 3 step drop and hit Edelmen or Amendola. Since the DBs were off they marched down the field at a 5-7yd clip. Then, Brady would find the occasional blown coverage and grab a larger chunk. He was even sacked a few times but not enough to make a big difference. The jets should have stayed with the man coverage on the WRs because it allowed the DL time to get to Brady. The blitzing in the 2nd half would’ve been much more effective with WRs being jammed at the LOS. Ultimately the Jets did prove one thing: they could hang with the Patriots until the end in Foxboro. That also tells me Miami can do the same thing.
When Miami has the ball NE’s defense will do the same thing they did last week in Q1 against the Jets. They’ll stack the box with 8-9 guys early in the game and blitz trying to create a big play. Miami’s interior line isn’t as good as the Jets. If they play a single safety Miami’s going to have to attack with the TE in the seam and the WRs on slants. Just like the Jets, Miami is going to have to force the running game. While the Jets average per carry was really bad, they put themselves in 3rd and 3-4 yds which proved manageable most of the game. This made for long, time consuming drives which kept Brady on the sideline. The Jets don’t have the offensive weaponry that Miami has. RT and company are going to have to carry their weight in this game by scoring 30 points. NE’s secondary is terrible. They were committing penalties all evening that weren’t being called. Miami should test them deep… a lot.
Overall, it is hard to predict a win here. Even though my gut is saying they’ll do it this is still the NE Patriots and they’re still the defending super bowl champs. So win or lose, I’m going to watch the defense and offense open a can of Campbells Cream of Whoopazz Soup.
Dan…be the man.
Addendum – I had that artcle cued up and ready to go when I realized Tony Simmons had already posted a pregame post. But some of the insights I offered were keys to why they lost. DBs in zone, 10yds off the ball. Terrible. Offensive play calling, they didn’t force the run and when they did it wasn’t a direct, right at them approach it was cutsey off-tackle, pull the guard stuff. The same plays NY Jets failed at last week that they quickly abandoned in favor of a more between the tackles approach. Finally, one more point. About Ryan Tannehill. He followed his best game ever with what could be close to his worst. Miami needed him to lead. They needed him to come out passionate about winning and trying everything he could to make that happen. He was listless. He was unenthusiastic. He was about as distant as a QB could be from the game. At one point staring off to the right as the ball was snapped. It was mind boggling to watch. A guy in his 5th season who looked like a new rookie out there. It really damaged my faith in him. Instead of anticipating, creating time… he looked for a place to fall at the first sign of pressure. Instead of attacking downfield…he was checking off to the back on 3rd and 18 down by 22. It was if he just didn’t care. The OL held up its end of the bargain. They gave him a lot of time to throw on most occasions and when the plays were between the tackles they were gritting out 3-4 yards.
Just one more observation: Bill Lazor still doesn’t have an effective audible system in place. At one point in the first half the patriots had a DE lined up on Lamar Miller who was split wide left. This should be a no brainer. As a matter of fact there was confusion on the Patriots side of the ball as the DE scrambled out late to line up on Miller. Any veteran QB would’ve seen the mismatch immediately and exploited it. Not RT and Lazor…. Stick with the play. The play lost 4 yards. In order for this offense to be successful, Lazor is going to have to be less creative and more basic. He needs to simplify the offense like they did the defense. Give RT the ability to audible.
The surging Miami Dolphins, 3-3 and coming off a convincing 44-26 win over the Houston Texans, travel to Foxboro to take on division rival, defending Super Bowl Champion and 6-0 New England Patriots on Thursday Night on CBS and the NFL Network. The Patriots are coming off a tough division win over the New York Jets in Foxboro 30-23. The game is a 8:25 kickoff.
The question everyone has right now in regards to Miami is are they legit. Some have said that the Dolphins have beaten the Titans and Texans, 2 struggling football teams. And while this is true, the Dolphins not only beat those teams, they DOMINATED those teams. The question for all will be answered in the game Thursday Night against the undefeated Patriots.
Let's take a look at the teams and how they will matchup.
Offensively, after the last 2 weeks, the Dolphins offense has taken major steps forward, generating 366.0 yards of total offense, which ranks 10th in the NFL. The Dolphins are generating 248.5 yards in the passing game and 117.5 yards in the run game. This ranks 13th & 14th respectively in the NFL. Miami is scoring 24.5 points per game, ranking 9th in the NFL. They face a New England defense giving up 358.7 yards per game, which ranks 15th in the NFL. The Patriots are giving up 248.3 yards in the passing game, and are giving up 110.3 yards per game in the run game. New England is giving up 21.0 points per game, which ranks 12th in the NFL.
When you face an offensive team as potent as the Patriots, you know you are going to have to score points. QB Ryan Tannehill is coming off a 18-19, 4 touchdown performance last Sunday. RB Lamar Miller, missing in action the 1st 4 games, had 14 carries for 175 yards last week against the Texans, after gaining over 100 yards the prior week against the Titans. Both will have to have big games for the Dolphins Thursday Night, along with the rest of the skill position personnel. I preach this all the time, but especially against a team like the Patriots, a balanced attack will be key. You don't want the Patriots to be able to concentrate on one aspect of your offense because they have taken away one of the cogs. The offensive line has been ROCK SOLID that past few weeks, and their improved play must continue. Physical, balanced, smart offensive football is what the Dolphins will need Thursday Night. Miami has had success against the Patriots, and I think they will again.
Defensively, the Dolphins come in giving up 369.8 yards in total offense, ranking 21st in the NFL. The Dolphins are giving up 240.5 yards in the passing game, and are giving up 129.3 yards per game in the run game. That ranks 14th & 30th in the NFL. Miami is giving up 22.8 points per game, which ranks 15th in the NFL. The Patriots come in generating 410.8 yards per game, which ranks 2nd in the NFL. The Patriots are producing 327.2 yards per game in the passing game, and are averaging 83.7 yards in the run game. The Patriots rank 2nd & 31st respectively in those catagories. New England is scoring 35.5 points per game, which leads the NFL.
You look at those stats and you realize the task that the defense has in front of them. Futre Hall of Fame QB Tom Brady is off to a blazing start and he has weapons around him. TE Rob Grownkowski is the best in football, and in WR Julian Edleman, Danny Amendola and now Bradon LaFell back, the Patriots have very compontent wide receivers. RB Dion Lewis gives them a RB that is good in the passing game and LeGarette Blount is the big power back. THE KEY to this game defensively for Miami is the pass rush, PERIOD. The Dolphins beat the Patriots in Miami last year because they constantly hit Brady and had constant pressure on him. Pressure not only off the edge, but pressure up the middle. Miami will need to use their depth along the defensive line to stay fresh, because with the Patriots, they don't mind throwing the ball all game long. The run game for the Patriots has struggled, and the Dolphins cannot let them have any run game. Miami MUST stop the run game. CB Jamar Taylor will be tested, as will all of the defensive secondary. They will have to have a solid game along with the linebackers. The defense as a whole must play a solid game to have a chance against this Patriots offense.
Miami can answer one BIG question on Thursday Night against their AFC East rival. Are these Dolphins for REAL.