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2015 Dolphins Draft Picks
It has been an unusually quiet week for Miami in the free-agent market.
I don't think any major moves are in the works to sign a player although rumors of inking Seattle RB Chris Carson popped up yesterday. Miami's only major need at this point is an Edge to replace Shaq Lawson. The two best available are Melvin Ingram and Carlos Dunlap, but both are older than what Miami targets.
Per Barry Jackson, Miami sits at $12.5 million under the cap but will need to create room to accommodate rookies, practice squad guys, and some cushion. Something will have to give.
I don't think it would be a stretch to see if Miami will try and trade some WRs, notably Albert Wilson, Jakeem Grant, and Allen Hurns. Fetching more than a conditional 7th Round pick is a pipe dream but it is at least something better than a release.
I would not be surprised if Miami tried to trade for an Edge, possibly with a swap of draft picks. Maybe a team looking to move up in the draft would send one?
Speaking of the draft, a few things come to mind. If the rumors are true about Carolina going all-in on Deshaun Watson it hurts Miami's chances of getting a haul for the 3rd overall pick. I do not think either Philly or Detroit will be aggressive in moving up. Flores also hinted at staying in the Top 10 so that eliminates San Francisco. Word is Atlanta is hot for Trey Lance so maybe the best you get is them flipping a mid-round pick to secure the 3rd pick. This of course hinges on Carolina landing Watson.
My deeper thoughts are focusing on Miami repeating what they did last year. If I had to guess I think they might be aiming to trade back into the 1st Round for a player, similar to acquiring Noah Igbinoghene. Perhaps they grab a receiving target in the Top 10 (my current favorites are Kyle Pitts and Jaylen Waddle), use the 18th pick on either Najee Harris or Travis Etienne (they worked him out a lot), and trade back into Round 1 for a pass rusher (Azeez Ojulari and Joseph Ossai would be the targets). If they don't have to give up the 50th pick to make that move then they should be sitting pretty to grab a center with starting capability. This scenario seems like a Chris Grier type of strategy.
Feel free to agree or disagree.
Alright, guys, this my first attempt at a mock draft which will be eviscerated by unexpected free agent moves.
I do not expect Miami to be spenders. They have indicated the goal is extending their homegrown talent and will probably kick the can on a few inexpensive spare parts. I could definitely see them trading a 4th or 6th Round pick for a reasonably priced veteran to avoid free agent bidding if said player is on the chopping block (think Brandin Cooks in Houston).
I also see Miami pushing to trade down for 2022 assets.
FYI, I am not projecting trades at this point but I'll hint at a couple.
Here we go!
1. Jacksonville - Trevor Lawrence QB Clemson
2. New York Jets - Justin Fields QB Ohio State
3. Carolina - Zach Wilson QB BYU
4. Atlanta - Micah Parsons LB Penn State
5. Cincinnati - Penei Sewell OT Oregon
6. Philadelphia - Ja'Marr Chase WR LSU
7. Detroit - Devonta Smith WR Alabama
8. Miami - Jaylen Waddle WR Alabama
9. Denver - Patrick Surtain II CB Alabama
10. Dallas - Kwity Paye DE Michigan
11. New York Giants - Caleb Fairley CB Virginia Tech
12. San Francisco - Rashawn Slater OT Northwestern
13. Los Angeles Chargers - Christian Darrisaw OT Virginia Tech
14. Minnesota - Kyle Pitts TE Florida
15. New England - Zaven Collins LB Tulsa
16. Arizona - Najee Harris RB Alabama
17. Las Vegas - Gregory Rousseau DE Miami
18. Miami - Joseph Ossai Edge Texas
19. Washington - Alijah Vera-Tucker OT/OG USC
20. Chicago - Trey Lance QB NDSU
21. Indianapolis - Alex Leatherwood OT Alabama
22. Tennessee - Teven Jenkins OT Oklahoma State
23. New York Jets - Samuel Cosmi OT Texas
24. Pittsburgh - Wyatt Davis OG Ohio State
25. Jacksonville - Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah LB Notre Dame
26. Cleveland - Ronnie Perkins Edge Oklahoma
27. Baltimore - Azeez Ojulari Edge Georgia
28. New Orleans - Rashod Bateman WR Minnesota
29. Green Bay - Jaylen Mayfield OT Michigan
30. Buffalo - Travis Etienne RB Clemson
31. Kansas City - Jaycee Horn CB South Carolina
32. Tampa Bay - Nick Bolton LB Missouri
Okay, let's digest a few things. Your first question will be why I have Jaylen Waddle at 3rd overall. I think Miami is going to trade down with Carolina. Carolina's big bid to get Matthew Stafford tells me they want a guy like Zach Wilson and took an early shot to get the 30-year-old version of him. My guess is Miami acquires Carolina's 2022 1st Rounder and either a late Day 2 or early Day 3 pick as well (might be higher if they are willing to take a 2022 pick).
Waddle is exactly the type of receiver Miami needs. Great hands, one of the fastest in the draft, and without a doubt the most electric playmaker.
I think the Jets (if they do not acquire Deshaun Watson) will look for a guy who can handle the pressure of the New York market. That is why I have them going Justin Fields over Zach Wilson. I read that Washington may pursue Sam Darnold so add another pick to New York's war chest.
Joseph Ossai at 18? Another trade back scenario but I do not yet know who it will be. Ossai is versatile and appears to be a Flores guy. Miami needed to get creative with their blitzing so a natural pass rusher like Ossai is in order.
You'll also notice a very large run on OL prospects. The draft seems quite top-heavy in that area so my hunch is teams will be aggressive in their pursuit of QB protectors, especially tackles.
The only Day 2 pick I will discuss at this point is Center Creed Humphrey from Oklahoma. In fact, if Miami had to trade up from the 36th pick I would applaud the move. Some people prefer Alabama's Landon Dickerson but Humphrey has been on draft radars for a few years. Grier and Flores will value his character, leadership and steady play.
We can discuss other picks after free agency shakes out and teams really begin to set their draft boards.